Jun 19 2009
∞
“ On Tuesday, Bloomberg noted that housing starts were “soaring,” in May, up 17.2 percent from April. That’s up three straight months, the Journal chimed in. But housing is an extremely seasonal business. The CEO of a large bank once told me that his bank’s mortgage business all but disappeared in the fall because men in the Northeast wouldn’t look at houses on Sundays during the football season. So noting that housing starts or sales rose sequentially in the spring months is a little like saying traffic at the train station next to Yankee Stadium was up hugely in April, when 20 games were played, from March, when no games were played. What really matters is the comparison with the previous year. And the news is horrid on that front. “Year over year, housing starts were 45.2 percent lower than the pace of construction in May 2008,” the Journal noted.
