"

The Economists’ statement opposing the Bush tax cuts was a statement signed by roughly 450 economists, including ten of the twenty-four American Nobel Prize laureates alive at the time, in February 2003 who urged the U.S. President George W. Bush not to enact the 2003 tax cuts; seeking and sought to gather public support for the position. The statement was printed as a full-page ad in The New York Times and released to the public through the Economic Policy Institute. According to the statement, the 450 plus economists who signed the statement believe that the 2003 Bush tax cuts will increase inequality and the budget deficit, decreasing the ability of the U.S. government to fund essential services, while failing to produce economic growth.

In rebuttal, 250 plus economists who supported the tax plan wrote that the new plan would “create more employment, economic growth, and opportunities for all Americans.”

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Economists’ statement opposing the Bush tax cuts - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

Well, I guess we know who won that bet. 

(via rickwebb)

Add this to the long list of data points that suggests that perhaps our national leadership should listen to people who, you know, know stuff.

(via rickwebb)

"Gingrich, as he showed in a gasping effort in Thursday night’s debate in Florida, is a demagogue distilled, like a French sauce, to the purest essence of the word’s meaning. He has no shame. He thinks the rules do not apply to him. And he turns questions about his odious personal behavior into mock outrage over the audacity of the questioner. After inventing, and then perfecting, the modern politics of personal destruction, Gingrich has decided now to bank on the dark fears of the worst element of the Republican base to seize the nomination — using skills refined over four decades."

Deconstructing a Demagogue - NYTimes.com

"I’m dead serious,” the president continued, saying that any reasonable person would have walked away the moment the Senate minority leader announced his main priority—above creating jobs and improving American health care—was to make Obama a one-term president. “I’m asking if anybody out there can come up with even one reason why I’d want to endure this unmitigated shit show for another minute, let alone through 2016. What’s in it for me, ex­actly? Can anyone answer that? Anyone at all?"

Obama Openly Asks Nation Why On Earth He Would Want To Serve For Another Term | The Onion - America’s Finest News Source

"Gingrich sees the world as a battleground — more than any other man alive, he is responsible for creating the non-stop partisan warfare that has made American government so dysfunctional. Even before his election as Republican Whip in 1989, Gingrich had begun to demand a no-compromise war for political power; it is his sole belief system. It is distinctly at odds with the Founders’ conception of peoples’ representatives gathering in a Congress to reason together to shape the nation’s laws. It is why they argued against creating strong political parties like the ones they had left behind in Europe. But to Gingrich, parties — confrontational parties — are essential tools to be used to gain, and hold, power. It is power, not wise governance, that exerts the magnetic pull."

Imagining a Gingrich Presidency - Mickey Edwards - Politics - The Atlantic

What Obligation (if any) Is Owed?

 The recent acquisition of Gowalla by Facebook is just the latest incidence of the potential tension between investors and founders when a company is acquired primarily for the team rather than for the technology, product or business that they’ve built. People around the web will take the opportunity to observe that in situations where a company is acquired in this way, the founders typically get a package of equity to motivate them to join (and remain at) the acquiring company, while investors usually get anywherefrom zero to a small return on invested capital. Look around and you’ll find people willing to condemn the founders for unethically “selling out” their investors and you’ll find people who say the exact opposite, that such a company didn’t have saleable assets anyway, and so investors are owed nothing because the business failed.

 Having been on the selling end of several of these types of acquisitions in the past few years, I can say with confidence that it’s extremely realistic to walk from these deals with both founders and investors feeling good about what happened and maintaining strong relationships. But I think some of the nuances are non-obvious, and I think it’s worth it for founders to think through the likely sequence of events that may arise before there is urgency and emotion and a deal is imminent.

Personally I think that in the specific fact pattern where a business has very little traction, cash is running out and you have exactly one acquirer willing to take on the team but unwilling to pay investors for a business in which they have no interest (which seems to be the pattern at play with Facebook/Gowalla) the ethical conundrum actually isn’t – the SV Angel perspective that there is no business and therefor no harm to investors is fairly self-apparent. But there are a whole bunch of ways to tweak the factpattern to make the ethical question far more complex and more interesting. Two that are worth considering:

·      What if the company still had ten months of runway when an acquirer comes knocking on the door looking to acquire the team? What obligation, if any, does the company have to continue to try to create a positive outcome for shareholders.

·      What if there was a different buyer who was willing to buy the business or its assets for a 2-3x multiple of invested capital paid back to shareholders but didn’t come with as sweet or ascompelling a deal for the management team? What obligation, if any, does the company have to consider and execute this transaction rather than one that sets the founders up in a way they like? 

And…

·      Different but related (and by far the most common) – what happens when an acquisition offer is presented that is really interesting for the founders but a disappointment to investors who were hoping for a big outcome?

 Each of these, taken in turn, is worth a longer discussion but they are all connected by a common question – when you take investor money, particularly venture money (whose business model is to fund plenty of companies that fail but to have a few tremendous outcomes that make up for them), do you also take on a measure of obligation to consider the best interests of yourshareholders and how important is that obligation relative to others (to yourself, to your cofounders, to your employees…).

Legally, of course, there is an obligation as set out by Delaware law. That obligation comes with the founders’ seats on the Board to consider the rights and outcomes to all shareholders. But setting that aside, in a particular and challenging set of facts, how should founders think about investors and their rights?

 The answer, of course, is that it depends on the circumstances. But there are a few elements of a framework that make sense to employ if you face this decision. 

1.     You probably told your investors that you were trying to build something world-changing when you took their money. Sure, they know this only happens in a few cases, but don’t ignore the commitment you made to try to build a big business.

2.     The world of startups is small and involves repeat interactions. You can (and should) make the decision that is best for all stakeholders, not just shareholders, but understand that there are reputational consequences to dismissing the needs (or perceived needs) of your investors.

3.     You can’t possibly communicate too much with the people who have bet on you. I can cite plenty of situations where people were unhappy with an outcome not because the outcome was wrong or irrational, but simply because it was presented to them by fiat and they weren’t part of the decision process.

All of which rolls up to a simple set of guidelines, if not conclusions. The decision to accept failure (or too-modest success) is always going to be challenging. If you are a high profile startup and have raised money on the back of a big dream (as Gowalla did), recognize that you have stakeholders around your company and consider not just the outcome they will achieve in a particular transaction, but the full arc of your relationship with them, from the point of investment through the discussion you may have three years from now about your next company. Professional investors (VC’s and angels both) are adults, understand the range of outcomes and (if you chose them well) will work with you to find a good situation for the founding team. As with all things in our ecosystem, mutual respect, over communication and a view toward enduring relationships will serve you extremely well. 

"National home prices have declined 33% from the peak in 1Q06 through 3Q11, returning to mid-2002 levels. In our view, this has left prices fairly valued relative to per capita income growth and rent prices. However, we expect prices to undershoot relative to fair valuation, declining another 7% from 3Q11 through 1Q13."

MICHELLE MEYER: Home Prices Will Continue To Plunge, And 2013 Will Be The Worst Year For Foreclosures In History

Normally I’m not one to say I told you so but … I totally did.

"And last week, Romney released a commercial with footage in which Obama stated, “If we keep talking about the economy, we’re going to lose.” As it happens, Obama was describing how the McCain campaign assessed McCain’s situation during the 2008 general election, and the clip was from back then. The Romney TV spot dispensed with all that pesky context. When this flagrant misdirection was pointed out, the Romney campaign’s reaction was unapologetic pride. “We’re not going to take our foot off the gas pedal,” crowed a senior aide, Eric Fehrnstrom."

Presidential Politics as Craven Crudités - NYTimes.com

"As we’ve all learned, Bachmann’s strong points are her passion and determination, while her weak ones include a rather free-floating relationship with reality."

The Bachmann Chronicles - NYTimes.com

Vacation + Sunday + mediocre weather = chocolate chip cookies.  (Taken with instagram)

Vacation + Sunday + mediocre weather = chocolate chip cookies. (Taken with instagram)

sawickipedia:

But the estate tax was meant to do more than bolster budgets and aid charities. From its inception, it was meant to ward off the emergence of a hereditary aristocracy in the United States. Established in 1916, the tax was a populist response to the excesses of the Gilded Age. President Theodore Roosevelt justified it by arguing that society has a claim upon the fortunes of its wealthy. Roosevelt pointed out that “most great civilized countries have an income tax and an inheritance tax. In my judgment both should be part of our system of federal taxation.” Such taxation, he noted, should “be aimed merely at the inheritance or transmission in their entirety of those fortunes swollen beyond all healthy limits.”

The difference now and then is that when the death tax was instituted there was no federal income tax (and mostly no state income taxes).  Today there are a variety of confiscatory taxes in place to deal with issues like this.

And yet wealth continues to accumulate only at the top, a group that has captured essentially all of the economic growth in the US economy over the past several decades. Those who pay estate tax rarely see the majority of their wealth ever subject to the “confiscatory” income tax - if it’s taxed at all it’s taxed at the far lower cap gains/dividend rates. One can agree or disagree with the rationale spelled out above around ensuring that wealth in the US is (by and large) something that has to be created rather than inherited, but I think it’s indisputable that the estate tax is a critical mechanism for implementing that vision should we as a society choose it.

(Source: azspot)